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Surface air temperature on the left, and sea ice levels on right. (Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF)

It's Official: Siberia's 10°C Hotter Than Average, We Just Had Warmest May on Record

KELLY MACNAMARA & MARLOWE HOOD, AFP
7 JUNE 2020

Temperatures soared 10 degrees Celsius (°C) above average last month in Siberia, home to much of Earth's permafrost, as the world experienced its warmest May on record, the European Union's climate monitoring network said Friday.

 

The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said May 2020 was 0.63°C warmer than the average May from 1981 to 2010, with above average temperatures across parts of Alaska, Europe, North America, South America, swathes of Africa and Antarctica.

Western Siberia in particular has been unusually warm for several months running, C3S senior scientist Freja Vamborg told AFP.

"The really large anomalies started during January, and since then this signal has been quite persistent," she said by email.

ts 1month anomaly Global ERA5 2T 202005 v01(Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF)

Above: Monthly global-mean and European-mean surface air temperature anomalies relative to 1981-2010. The darker coloured bars denote the May values. 

Globally, the average temperature for the twelve months to May 2020 is close to 1.3°C above pre-industrial levels, the benchmark by which global warming is often measured. 

Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, nearly 200 countries have pledged to cap the rise in Earth average surface temperature to "well below" 2°C, and to 1.5°C if possible.

The heatwave across parts of Siberia and Alaska will cause particular alarm in regions that were engulfed by huge forest fires last year fuelled by record heat, and where Copernicus has warned that "zombie" blazes smouldering underground may be reigniting.  

The monitoring network said that there were "highly anomalous" temperatures over Siberia throughout the March to May period. 

 

Carbon in the permafrost  

These reached close to 10°C above the 1981 to 2010 average over parts of the Ob and Yenisei rivers, where "record-early break-up of river ice has been reported". 

map 1month Arctic ea ci 202005 v02 2(Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF)

Above: Average Arctic sea ice concentration for May 2020 on the left. The thick orange line denotes the climatological sea ice edge for May for the period 1981-2010. On the right, Arctic sea ice concentration anomalies for May 2020 relative to the May average for the period 1981-2010

Copernicus recorded above average temperatures around much of the Arctic between March to May, although the spring was colder in northern Canada. 

Parts of Europe - from the Balkans to Scandinavia - also saw cooler than average temperatures in May, as did Australia, southern Asia and the eastern United States.  

The 12 months to May were 0.7°C hotter than the 1981 to 2010 average, matching the warmest equivalent period on record, between October 2015 and September 2016. 

Overall, global temperatures have risen more than 1°C since mid-19th century levels, driven mostly by burning fossil fuels. 

There has been a sustained period of above-average temperatures since 2002, while the last five years have been the hottest on record, as was the last decade.

 

In the Arctic region average temperatures have risen by two degrees Celsius since the mid-19th century, almost twice the global average.

This has accelerated melting of Greenland's kilometres-thick ice sheet, resulting in a net loss of 600 billion tonnes of ice mass for the year - accounting for about 40 percent of total sea level rise in 2019.

The permafrost in Russian and Canadian forests contains as much as 1.5 trillion tonnes of carbon dioxide - around 40 times current annual emissions.

The United Nations said last year that humanmade greenhouse gas emissions needed to tumble 7.6 percent annually over the next decade to cap global warming at 1.5°C.

Current pledges to cut emissions put Earth on a path of several degrees warming by the end of the century.

© Agence France-Presse